🌊 How The Right Lost Canada

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By Max Frost

As recently as January, it seemed virtually certain that Canada would soon have a conservative leader. The Conservatives were polling at nearly 45%; the Liberals, after a decade of Justin Trudeau’s leadership, around 20%. 

Trudeau’s presence in Ottawa had become such a liability that his top officials were resigning. On January 6, he said he soon would, too. The Liberals seemed poised for a wipe-out of historic proportions. 

But the Conservatives have since suffered a stunning collapse. New polling shows they are roughly tied or even trailing the Liberals. Per The Guardian’s latest poll of polls, the Liberals are leading and set to form a majority. 338Canada, a closely-watched aggregator of polls, now gives the Liberals a 55% chance to form a majority government. In January, their odds were less than 1%.

In the process of this, Canada’s left – which under Trudeau became known as a leader in global progressive initiatives – has become the country’s beacon of nationalism.

In today’s deep-dive, we examine how this happened and what it means for Canada and the US.

By late 2024, PM Trudeau’s approval rating was around 22%. After a decade of his leadership, Canadians faced high housing costs, high taxes, and what many considered unacceptably high levels of immigration. Amid the resulting displeasure arose Pierre Poilievre, a man who had his eye on the prime ministership for decades.  

Editor’s Note

Thanks for reading, everyone! We’d love to hear your thoughts on today’s report. Send them in here!

For anyone who’s missed our recent deep-dives, here they are:

• The tax loopholes that save the wealthy trillions of dollars

• How Boomers Became So Rich

• The Coming MAGA War 

• The Silicon Rust Belt: the decline of programming jobs?

• The Florida Blue Key’s takeover of DC politics

Enjoy the rest of your weekends!

–Max and Max